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Qual 102015 Sacramento Regional
Red54
449821.1
264336.5
359823.5
Blue29
49905.4
214413.2
502313.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36352025304045505429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#7
36.51.4
12.4→13.8
Auto1.5
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 22.7
5023
#28
13.80.6
11.4→10.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
3598
#13
23.51.4
14.8→16.2
Auto0.6
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 10.3
2144
#32
13.20.6
12.7→12.1
Auto0.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
4498
#17
21.11.4
9.8→11.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 15.7
4990
#47
5.40.6
12.3→11.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0