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Red60
1147.5
366919.5
413523.2
Blue110
325623.2
29530.5
167879.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2911905010015020025060110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#24
23.20.9
18.419.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 56.2
79.41.1
66.667.6
Auto8.6
Teleop70.8
End0.0
Second
3669
#30
19.51.4
12.513.9
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 11.1
295
#12
30.51.1
24.926.0
Auto0.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
114
#54
7.51.4
12.814.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 15.7
3256
#22
23.21.6
17.419.0
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0