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Red8
56825.6
545811.5
66810.9
Blue17
325717.9
55079.5
214116.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32200406080100817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
568
#16
25.61.4
9.37.8
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
3257
#19
17.90.5
10.39.8
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
5458
#50
11.51.4
7.96.4
Auto0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2141
#40
16.10.5
6.96.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
668
#43
10.91.4
13.912.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
5507
#46
9.50.5
5.75.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0