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Red64
304512.6
497314.2
413523.2
Blue137
167164.2
25310.3
359823.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4265010015020025064137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#24
23.20.9
19.320.2
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 41.0
64.23.7
42.546.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.5
End0.0
Second
4973
#27
14.20.9
16.417.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 9.3
3598
#13
23.56.1
16.222.4
Auto0.6
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
3045
#31
12.61.4
11.212.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 2.3
253
#39
10.36.1
4.810.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0