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Qual 282015 Sacramento Regional
Red30
69215.2
55079.5
545811.5
Blue79
97138.0
264336.5
527410.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165801001502003079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
692
#38
15.20.3
12.7→13.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 22.8
971
#11
38.02.1
33.2→35.3
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
5458
#50
11.50.6
5.5→6.1
Auto0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 24.9
2643
#7
36.52.1
16.0→18.2
Auto1.5
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Third
5507
#46
9.50.6
5.2→5.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5274
#48
10.42.1
4.4→6.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0