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Red8
207322.1
361517.2
527410.4
Blue22
142210.9
359823.5
366919.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28430100150200822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#21
22.11.4
15.313.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3598
#13
23.51.7
16.514.8
Auto0.6
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
3615
#26
17.21.9
6.64.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3669
#30
19.51.7
14.212.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
5274
#48
10.41.9
9.37.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1422
#55DQ
10.91.7
11.69.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.2
End0.0