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Red50
255122.6
69215.2
325623.2
Blue26
10017.6
502610.3
361517.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6019040801001201401605026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#22
23.20.5
22.622.1
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
100
#36
17.60.3
13.613.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
2551
#15
22.60.5
20.119.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 5.4
3615
#26
17.20.5
5.66.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
692
#38
15.20.3
13.012.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 4.9
5026
#37
10.30.5
6.97.4
Auto1.4
Teleop8.9
End0.0