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Red164
29530.5
502610.3
11882.1
Blue109
385920.4
214413.2
248926.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103460150200250164109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
82.13.3
64.067.3
Auto10.0
Teleop72.1
End0.0
red by 55.5
2489
#10
26.64.3
20.424.7
Auto0.9
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
295
#12
30.53.3
26.830.1
Auto0.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 10.1
3859
#14
20.44.3
19.924.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
5026
#37
10.35.5
7.412.9
Auto1.4
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2144
#32
13.24.3
16.821.1
Auto0.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0