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Qual 452015 Sacramento Regional
Red142
167879.4
361517.2
502313.8
Blue94
325033.4
128044.3
220419.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877205010015020014294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#3
79.42.7
72.4→75.1
Auto8.6
Teleop70.8
End0.0
red by 35.1
1280
#6
44.31.4
27.9→29.3
Auto0.2
Teleop44.0
End0.0
Second
3615
#26
17.24.5
6.1→10.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 16.2
3250
#9
33.40.9
30.3→31.2
Auto2.0
Teleop31.4
End0.0
Third
5023
#28
13.84.5
9.2→13.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2204
#20
19.81.4
18.7→20.2
Auto1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0