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Red6
497314.2
49044.4
213517.2
Blue54
325033.4
361517.2
325623.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682050100150200654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#23
17.21.7
14.713.0
Auto0.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 16.2
33.41.1
34.533.4
Auto2.0
Teleop31.4
End0.0
Second
4973
#27
14.21.2
14.913.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 9.0
3256
#22
23.21.6
23.221.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4904
#51
4.41.7
5.94.2
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3615
#26
17.21.6
18.717.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0