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Red157
325535.0
39959.5
233929.2
Blue126
347649.4
153866.7
448615.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11212702004006008001,000157126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#3
59.50.6
57.758.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
blue by 7.2
66.70.0
65.865.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop66.8
End0.0
Second
35.00.6
33.233.9
Auto0.1
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 14.4
49.40.0
48.548.5
Auto0.1
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Third
2339
#21
29.20.6
27.428.1
Auto0.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 13.5
4486
#39
15.60.1
14.514.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0