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Red2
54749.2
49196.1
576522.4
Blue33
50258.2
416026.6
513727.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20520100150233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5765
#28
22.41.0
10.39.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5137
#17
27.30.8
23.722.9
Auto1.0
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Second
5474
#53
9.21.0
9.98.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 17.5
4160
#13
26.60.8
17.917.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Third
4919
#57
6.11.0
5.44.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5025
#41
8.20.8
7.66.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0