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Red22
34911.1
543017.3
577217.3
Blue82
302129.4
562717.8
345313.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303801002003004005002282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5772
#33
17.30.3
14.714.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 12.2
29.42.2
18.720.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
5430
#30
17.30.2
11.411.2
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5627
#25
17.83.7
9.513.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3491
#58
1.10.3
6.05.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End0.0
blue by 12.3
3453
#29
13.33.7
9.713.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0