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Red100
177217.1
233929.2
512442.6
Blue68
325535.0
210242.9
449818.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737040608010012010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.3
38.139.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
42.90.3
37.637.3
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
2339
#21
29.21.3
18.319.7
Auto0.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 5.8
35.00.3
13.913.6
Auto0.1
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
1772
#46
17.12.2
17.419.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4498
#32
18.50.3
23.022.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0