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Red16
50898.3
40145.2
81217.9
Blue110
345313.3
347649.4
576522.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3759010015020016110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#37
17.91.3
21.420.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 31.5
49.42.6
33.235.9
Auto0.1
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
5089
#34
8.31.3
12.811.5
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 14.1
5765
#28
22.44.4
10.815.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
4014
#55
5.22.1
7.25.1
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 8.1
3453
#29
13.34.4
13.217.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0