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Red28
576522.4
458311.1
40145.2
Blue68
325535.0
447015.9
47386.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280102040506070802868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5765
#28
22.40.0
15.215.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 12.6
35.01.9
13.615.5
Auto0.1
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
4583
#38
11.10.0
13.213.3
Auto0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 4.8
4470
#18
15.91.9
10.912.8
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4014
#55
5.20.0
5.15.1
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4738
#56
6.13.2
5.58.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0