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Red68
576817.1
249625.5
345313.3
Blue12
413914.1
282713.0
265815.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801001201406812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2496
#35
25.50.6
24.424.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
2658
#51
15.02.0
10.88.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5768
#26
17.10.9
14.915.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 3.0
4139
#36
14.12.0
15.113.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
3453
#29
13.30.9
17.618.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 0.3
2827
#44
13.02.0
9.97.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0