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Red34
302129.4
50898.3
254319.6
Blue16
84121.8
312822.6
334113.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423502060803416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.4
18.518.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
3128
#15
22.61.1
18.617.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
2543
#20
19.60.5
13.512.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
841
#19
21.81.3
9.78.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
5089
#34
8.30.6
10.59.9
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3341
#43
13.51.8
9.17.3
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0