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Red98
248528.8
416026.6
562717.8
Blue90
458311.1
347649.4
512442.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429601502009890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#14
28.82.6
17.720.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 20.6
49.40.0
37.837.7
Auto0.1
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
4160
#13
26.62.6
21.624.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 16.0
42.60.0
39.639.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Third
5627
#25
17.84.3
12.917.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 6.7
4583
#38
11.10.1
13.313.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0