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Red68
302129.4
448615.6
576522.4
Blue44
520910.0
458311.1
407813.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603002040801001201401606844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.5
24.725.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 15.6
4078
#31
13.90.6
12.413.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
5765
#28
22.40.8
20.120.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 11.3
4583
#38
11.10.6
13.213.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
4486
#39
15.60.8
12.813.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
5209
#49
10.00.6
10.511.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0