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Red73
551410.2
210242.9
513727.3
Blue64
562717.8
202919.8
265815.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82390501001507364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.3
42.241.9
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 23.2
2029
#11
19.80.8
18.018.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5137
#17
27.30.3
26.526.3
Auto1.0
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 9.4
5627
#25
17.81.2
15.216.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5514
#54
10.20.4
9.69.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2658
#51
15.01.2
14.315.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0