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Red28
162232.9
458311.1
448615.6
Blue44
543017.3
249625.5
50258.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6443020801001201401602844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.7
35.233.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 7.4
2496
#35
25.50.2
25.525.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
4486
#39
15.62.5
13.611.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5430
#30
17.30.2
14.614.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
4583
#38
11.12.5
13.811.3
Auto0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
5025
#41
8.20.2
8.17.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0