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Red120
543017.3
302129.4
248528.8
Blue104
202919.8
40145.2
153866.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56880100150200120104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.9
25.428.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 37.3
66.70.9
63.364.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop66.8
End0.0
Second
2485
#14
28.82.9
23.125.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 9.1
2029
#11
19.80.9
18.819.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5430
#30
17.32.9
14.417.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 12.0
4014
#55
5.21.2
4.05.2
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0