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Red52
577217.3
519928.1
370420.6
Blue64
449818.5
458311.1
202919.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423802060805264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#22
28.10.7
24.725.5
Auto0.7
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 8.4
2029
#11
19.81.3
7.99.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
3704
#23
20.61.2
9.911.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
4498
#32
18.51.5
21.122.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
5772
#33
17.37.5
17.39.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 6.2
4583
#38
11.12.0
10.712.7
Auto0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0