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Red148
84643.3
36865.3
50267.4
Blue74
135129.5
58129.1
107220.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186905010015020025014874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
65.30.6
64.965.5
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
red by 35.8
1351
#13
29.50.1
29.629.5
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
846
#8
43.30.6
42.843.4
Auto0.8
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 14.1
581
#9
29.10.1
29.229.1
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
5026
#56
7.40.6
6.97.5
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 13.0
1072
#27
20.30.1
20.420.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0