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Red195
97154.9
208567.8
64927.6
Blue50
348216.4
425519.6
66821.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15938010020025030019550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.8
66.267.0
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 46.0
668
#14
21.80.1
21.921.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
971
#4
54.90.8
53.454.2
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 35.3
4255
#12
19.60.1
19.719.6
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
649
#29
27.60.8
26.126.9
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 11.2
3482
#15
16.40.1
16.616.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0