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Red8
510413.1
25612.9
549920.4
Blue8
49047.8
41716.3
517117.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292401020405060708088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#20
20.41.8
8.87.0
Auto1.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
5171
#34
17.51.4
13.512.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
5104
#45
13.11.1
15.914.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 5.3
4904
#49
7.80.9
7.06.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
256
#26
12.91.1
4.73.6
Auto1.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
4171
#52
6.31.4
4.83.4
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.0