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Red44
203524.3
325625.6
425519.6
Blue89
166227.4
36865.3
107220.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4510901502002504489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#28
25.60.4
23.222.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 39.7
368
#5
65.30.7
54.053.3
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
Second
2035
#30
24.30.4
22.622.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 3.1
1662
#31
27.40.9
28.327.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
4255
#12
19.60.4
11.411.0
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 0.7
1072
#27
20.30.9
21.020.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0