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Red154
203524.3
208567.8
19243.6
Blue132
167898.8
570013.8
8409.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12488050100150200154132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.81.5
57.659.2
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
blue by 31.0
98.81.7
83.785.5
Auto11.2
Teleop87.7
End0.0
Second
192
#17
43.61.5
42.644.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.9
End0.0
red by 29.8
5700
#44
13.82.9
7.610.5
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
2035
#30
24.31.5
22.824.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 15.0
840
#41
9.31.7
6.07.7
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0