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Red10
107220.3
213521.3
285413.1
Blue60
510413.1
58129.1
236711.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801001201401601060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#19
21.32.5
18.215.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
581
#9
29.10.5
20.721.2
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
1072
#27
20.32.5
24.722.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 7.2
5104
#45
13.10.5
14.214.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2854
#46
13.14.2
17.713.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
2367
#36
11.40.5
14.615.1
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0