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Red18
213521.3
11414.5
567717.9
Blue12
75110.5
325625.6
236711.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433902060801001812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#19
21.31.2
15.614.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3256
#28
25.61.5
19.918.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
5677
#33
17.92.0
12.110.1
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 6.4
2367
#36
11.41.5
15.113.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
114
#11
14.51.2
14.713.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 4.0
751
#47
10.51.5
8.06.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0