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Red131
36865.3
49047.8
85219.3
Blue104
166227.4
418618.1
60421.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70550204080100120140131104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
65.33.0
52.755.7
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
red by 37.9
1662
#31
27.42.2
25.727.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
852
#35
19.35.1
11.216.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
604
#25
21.72.2
17.619.8
Auto0.7
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4904
#49
7.83.0
6.59.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 10.3
4186
#24
18.13.7
16.320.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0