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Red116
517117.5
50276.7
128052.9
Blue164
107220.3
208567.8
415917.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621010150200250300116164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.92.3
50.753.0
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
blue by 14.9
67.83.3
59.262.4
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
5171
#34
17.53.8
15.219.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1072
#27
20.33.3
22.125.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
5027
#55
6.73.8
4.38.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 11.1
4159
#21
17.83.3
17.420.6
Auto1.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0