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Red62
572817.3
247310.8
214419.9
Blue44
49047.8
388018.9
570013.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30290102040506070806244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#23
19.92.4
13.215.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
3880
#38
18.90.6
19.920.5
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
5728
#42
17.35.5
17.311.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
5700
#44
13.84.3
13.89.5
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
2473
#50
10.82.4
7.29.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
4904
#49
7.80.7
4.45.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0