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Red6
50276.7
107220.3
25612.9
Blue32
811.3
66821.8
247310.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43400206080100632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#27
20.31.8
25.423.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.5
668
#14
21.80.5
19.619.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
256
#26
12.91.8
8.97.1
Auto1.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
8
#53
11.30.5
11.711.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
5027
#55
6.73.0
8.15.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2473
#50
10.80.5
11.410.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0