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Red150
67042.2
196719.2
84643.3
Blue66
573719.9
50267.4
166227.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863905010015020015066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#8
43.33.4
35.939.3
Auto0.8
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 15.9
1662
#31
27.40.9
27.928.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
670
#6
42.23.4
29.633.1
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 22.3
5737
#16
19.91.5
12.614.1
Auto0.7
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
1967
#39
19.23.4
16.119.5
Auto0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 11.9
5026
#56
7.40.9
7.18.1
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0