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Red220
97154.9
84643.3
167898.8
Blue244
325625.6
254106.1
567717.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192111050150250300220244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.81.7
94.996.6
Auto11.2
Teleop87.7
End0.0
blue by 7.3
254
#1
106.15.8
98.1103.9
Auto12.3
Teleop93.8
End0.0
Second
971
#4
54.91.7
51.152.8
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 29.3
3256
#28
25.65.8
19.825.6
Auto0.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
846
#8
43.31.7
40.041.7
Auto0.8
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 25.4
5677
#33
17.97.7
10.117.9
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0