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Red188
97154.9
208567.8
64927.6
Blue142
84643.3
36865.3
50267.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110450200250188142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.6
67.468.0
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
368
#5
65.30.4
65.265.7
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
Second
971
#4
54.90.6
54.555.2
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 11.6
846
#8
43.30.4
43.243.6
Auto0.8
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Third
649
#29
27.60.6
27.327.9
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 20.3
5026
#56
7.40.4
7.27.7
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0