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Red48
419.6
171745.1
151524.0
Blue61
233917.7
58923.3
397032.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62602040801001204861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.8
32.731.9
Auto4.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
red by 12.7
3970
#19
32.50.2
29.929.8
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
1515
#13
24.00.8
22.421.6
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 0.7
589
#12
23.30.2
17.917.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4
#25
19.60.8
6.35.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
2339
#26
17.70.3
16.616.3
Auto1.5
Teleop16.3
End0.0