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Red48
183633.5
145831.1
471123.7
Blue44
276118.8
567811.7
98016.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79320501001502004844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#10
33.51.3
26.124.8
Auto0.1
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 14.8
2761
#35
18.80.2
13.914.0
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
31.11.3
25.223.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 14.3
980
#32
16.70.2
18.518.6
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4711
#20
23.71.3
23.322.0
Auto0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 12.1
5678
#38
11.70.3
8.38.6
Auto0.3
Teleop11.4
End0.0