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Red101
132316.0
98122.9
420153.4
Blue76
419.6
386318.0
242922.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions842305010015020010176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.41.5
45.246.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 30.5
2429
#17
22.92.1
14.216.4
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
981
#14
22.92.5
13.315.7
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 3.3
4
#25
19.62.3
5.57.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
1323
#37
16.01.5
18.920.3
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3863
#28
18.02.1
14.016.1
Auto1.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0