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Red22
49643.0
513616.0
567811.7
Blue114
513724.4
58923.3
171745.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186905010015020022114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5136
#29
16.00.2
12.512.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 29.1
45.12.5
33.736.2
Auto4.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
5678
#38
11.70.4
8.68.3
Auto0.3
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 12.8
5137
#21
24.44.2
12.216.4
Auto1.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4964
#41
3.00.2
5.24.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 20.3
589
#12
23.32.5
17.920.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0