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Qual 292015 Ventura Regional
Red50
399311.3
420153.4
350125.5
Blue61
59921.8
397032.5
145831.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78682040601001201401605061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#4
53.41.5
46.7→45.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 21.0
3970
#19
32.50.6
29.1→28.6
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
3501
#11
25.51.5
25.1→23.7
Auto1.3
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
1458
#7
31.10.6
27.1→26.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
3993
#40
11.32.4
7.4→4.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 10.4
599
#18
21.80.6
16.1→15.6
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0