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Red20
69120.0
276118.8
115912.2
Blue59
58923.3
59921.8
441321.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265701001502059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#34
20.00.6
14.013.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
589
#12
23.30.3
19.519.7
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
2761
#35
18.80.6
13.713.1
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
599
#18
21.80.3
15.315.6
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
1159
#39
12.21.0
4.13.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 9.2
4413
#27
21.40.3
19.219.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.6
End0.0