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Red97
59921.8
312015.9
115912.2
Blue105
138827.9
395320.5
233917.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315002040608010012014016097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#18
21.83.1
16.319.4
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 6.1
27.92.8
25.628.4
Auto0.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
3120
#24
15.93.1
12.715.8
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3953
#23
20.54.1
11.115.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
1159
#39
12.24.5
6.010.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 5.6
2339
#26
17.74.1
12.316.3
Auto1.5
Teleop16.3
End0.0