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Red28
98122.9
552913.6
419.6
Blue18
302721.5
441321.4
513616.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395301001502002818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
981
#14
22.91.0
17.916.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
3027
#15
21.52.5
17.515.0
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
4
#25
19.60.7
13.612.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4413
#27
21.41.7
20.919.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
5529
#31
13.60.7
10.910.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5136
#29
16.01.7
14.212.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0