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Red34
399311.3
126627.9
183633.5
Blue23
427619.3
386318.0
98016.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040801003423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#10
33.51.3
28.627.3
Auto0.1
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 14.2
4276
#36
19.31.7
21.319.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
27.91.9
24.022.2
Auto0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 9.8
3863
#28
18.01.7
19.317.6
Auto1.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
3993
#40
11.31.9
7.45.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 5.4
980
#32
16.71.7
15.714.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0