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Red49
276118.8
427619.3
399311.3
Blue56
151524.0
115912.2
471123.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355901001502004956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#36
19.30.4
19.620.1
Auto0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 4.7
1515
#13
24.00.1
24.023.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
2761
#35
18.80.4
15.215.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4711
#20
23.70.1
23.022.9
Auto0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
3993
#40
11.30.6
5.56.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
1159
#39
12.20.1
10.410.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0