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Red138
392520.4
513616.0
420153.4
Blue89
98122.9
276118.8
138827.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7756010015013889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.43.1
45.548.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 25.6
27.91.4
25.727.1
Auto0.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
3925
#16
20.43.1
17.320.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
981
#14
22.91.7
20.121.7
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5136
#29
16.03.1
13.516.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2761
#35
18.81.4
15.617.0
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0