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Red64
171745.1
461918.6
276118.8
Blue36
242922.9
567811.7
399311.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84400501001506436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.8
43.442.6
Auto4.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
red by 22.2
2429
#17
22.90.6
23.623.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
2761
#35
18.80.8
17.016.2
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 7.1
5678
#38
11.70.7
12.311.7
Auto0.3
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
4619
#33
18.60.8
19.418.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 7.2
3993
#40
11.30.7
12.011.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0